Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.724184 4.456099 5.273039 6.249408 7.381343 8.648981 10.172586
2025-05-25 2.563503 3.464160 4.576932 6.040455 7.900647 10.170911 13.134172
2025-06-01 1.936942 2.902306 4.200789 6.047431 8.573304 11.869945 16.453156
2025-06-08 1.532229 2.514157 3.935950 6.096973 9.239469 13.572745 19.911841
2025-06-15 1.227188 2.188451 3.676404 6.075869 9.757172 15.079936 23.211468
2025-06-22 0.944883 1.828783 3.288696 5.780043 9.800214 15.874858 25.532102
2025-06-29 0.777741 1.621101 3.097352 5.745531 10.210587 17.217910 28.741791
2025-07-06 0.645769 1.445329 2.924316 5.704505 10.586618 18.518905 31.971364
2025-07-13 0.591226 1.404988 2.981124 6.060391 11.649825 20.989290 37.223329
2025-07-20 0.524848 1.325545 2.949906 6.247596 12.432293 23.053393 41.962469
2025-07-27 0.480201 1.282685 2.980934 6.550232 13.442844 25.571022 47.624002
2025-08-03 0.414938 1.178384 2.869716 6.559133 13.908515 27.176510 51.842297
2025-08-10 0.338776 1.031848 2.648882 6.326007 13.907333 27.985357 54.797413
2025-08-17 0.271620 0.890203 2.412931 6.026086 13.739595 28.474174 57.221278
2025-08-24 0.232798 0.813959 2.313143 6.003539 14.120183 30.001604 61.622381
2025-08-31 0.203129 0.755677 2.245831 6.042833 14.628958 31.806316 66.652940
2025-09-07 0.174880 0.693517 2.157072 6.018578 14.996630 33.359309 71.306182
2025-09-14 0.140364 0.600119 1.967802 5.724151 14.739139 33.644788 73.536887
2025-09-21 0.120734 0.550728 1.888637 5.689579 15.056371 35.111827 78.164110
2025-09-28 0.103794 0.505310 1.811690 5.648786 15.352635 36.553010 82.826016
2025-10-05 0.099848 0.508616 1.880187 6.001583 16.609292 40.102354 91.956587
2025-10-12 0.091737 0.492673 1.886806 6.187178 17.480301 42.882372 99.666605
2025-10-19 0.086946 0.489262 1.932575 6.487241 18.657916 46.401994 109.100995